Wednesday 6 February 2008

Are Own Goals Inevitable?

As talks enter the 'too hot to handle' phase I wonder whether PNU & ODM can defend without scoring own goals.
PNU defence
ODM shoot from the hip (predictably) stating the the presidential election was flawed, rigged etc etc.
PNU counter furiously (predictably), the flaws, rigging etc etc were not one sided only that we beat you to it (latter bit for PNU ears only)
Now is PNU conceding that there were flaws, there was rigging? Would it not follow that you cannot say Mwai won fair and square in a free and fair election? Should we then not get rid of the flaws and have a free and fair election?
ODM defence
PNU will query if the ECK was so incompetent, didn't sound like they could do a thing right why stop at the presidential bit? Was the parliamentary election bit fair because you faired quite well?
I remember one Karua as well as some PNU bigwigs coming up with this line. That does throw a spanner in the works and means that ODM has some defending to do.
Pre-match (or is it mid-match) analysis
Who has a better defence? If I had to bet, I would put my money on ODM scoring more than PNU, but that pre-supposes fair play and good sportsmanship.
So when you throw in the scrapping & rough play, the smart money would probably have to be on PNU. They will probably grind out a draw or better and the post-match analysis will be ODM had such potential but on match day that was not enough for a win.
The referee
What does he have to keep the players in check? I guess in this game there is no yellow its either red or red - stating 'he/they/she led to collapse of the talks'. That would be a terrible indictment on anyone and both sides will want to avoid that characterisation. However minor misdemeanours are therefore to be expected as players will push the boundaries whenever they can.
Annan must be wondering whether he's bitten a bit more than he can chew as this lot are just out of this world.
Good luck Ref

Tuesday 5 February 2008

From Zero to Nothingness

I've never been much of a Kalonzo fan, I have never felt like there is anything that he has done that would inspire me into believing that he is a man who can provide Kenya with the visionary & decisive leadership that the country requires to move to the next level.
Last year this was an opinion that I held but which I found a bit difficult to justify. However as we ushered in the new year I felt highly vindicated in my opinion. Now I would say I believe Kalonzo definitely does not have the requisite qualities and I will be surprised if he surpasses the vice-presidency in terms of political achievements (unless of course Mwai is summoned by our maker prematurely).

So why do I have such a low estimation of this 'Son of Mwingi'?

As I observed earlier, part of it has been to do with the fact that there is nothing that I can point to in order to say, yes this is the man. But now I have no doubt in my mind that I can state emphatically, no he is not the man.

On a personal level I believe that you have to be a fool not to learn from history; more so when it's recent history. You fool me once fine, you fool me twice, damn me. And this is the key reason my opinion of Kalonzo has vanished to nearly a point of no redemption.
I look back to 2002, NARC, the hopes, the aspirations and the euphoria that came with it. How Kenya's dream was strangled by greed, selfishness and opportunism. The unceremonious manner in which LDP were shoved out of a government that they had fought for tooth and nail while Mwai was in a wheel chair. They do say forgive and forget but it pays to forgive but not to forget.
Kenyans forgave in as much as they did not resort to any unorthodox means to express their disappoitment as they watched in consternation as their dream was turned into a nightmare with arrogance & impunity. But they did not forget, they penned that critical date in their dairies, in late December 2007.

Because they did not forget they turned up in large numbers on that date and said we do not like dream snuffers. In many voices they said 'we are going to dream again'. But alas their dream was to turn into a nightmare sooner than they could say 'we have a dream'. Kenyans immediately said 'we forgave, we did not forget and we are not fools'. My post 'the crisis - what went wrong' suffices on my take on the events after Kenyans cast their votes. Here I want to dwell on the critical decisions that the 'Son of Mwingi' made.

Now back to the 'man of the moment'. Whilst Kenyans were forgiving but not forgetting I would imagine Kalonzo opted for the forgive and forget philosophy.
He chose to forget that Kenyans had high hopes for Kenya which were dashed by sheer self-interest, he chose to forget that this self-interest had resulted in the team effort of December 2002 being binned, he chose to forget that this self-interest had resulted in the breaking of an agreement.

Now how does he go ahead and canoodle with this same person? Okay, okay, you can't fault a man too much for having a forgiving heart, that would be too harsh though I do question his sense of judgement.
It is Kalonzo's right to chose whatever path he wants to take but my gripe is the circumstances under which he chose to forgive and forget.

Kalonzo had a unique opportunity to curve himself a place in the history of our country, it would have cost him very little yet it would have earned him so much. But he chose to conveniently hear no evil and see no evil. He made all the right noises but crucially made all the wrong choices.
Initially, I was a bit perturbed to hear that ODM-Kenya played their part in pressuring for release of the disputed presidential results. Kalonzo was clearly not in the race so why not just sit out and be neutral? But with hindsight it makes a lot of sense. Clearly this was pre-meditated support for Kibaki. I ask myself when did this man decide yet again 'Kibaki Tosha'? Was it when he realised he was a distant third? Was it when he realised he wasn't going to get the LDP nomination? Could it be earlier? I do not know. That is anyone's guess.

Still I do not fault a man for having a forgiving heart, it is the circumstances under which he did it, and the manner of it that disgusts me. Kalonzo decided to be politically expedient and take a position that would offer him the most political leverage. But in doing so he dealt a big blow to democracy (and his advocacy of it) by endorsing a manifestly flawed presidential vote.
Still I do not fault a man for seeking political leverage, it is the circumstances under which he did it that leave me hoping he ends up in political oblivion as a tribal chieftan.

The last straw came when he declared there was no question on who won the presidential election, this after the man who oversaw the election said he couldn't say for sure who won. Did he have so much ill feeling towards Raila to stoop this low?
Still I do not fault a man for wanting to get one back at his archrival, it is the circumstances under which he did it.

After this catalogue of short term, ill-advised decision making, I believe that the 'Son of Mwingi' has proved to me beyond reasonable doubt that he does not have the vision and decisiveness to lead Kenya out of the wilderness and into the promised land.
What does it benefit a man to gain the Vice presidency but lose all respect?

Amen.